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m. f. A conjugate prior is defined as a prior distribution belonging to some parametric family, for which the resulting posterior distribution also belongs to the same family. For example, suppose that

{\displaystyle \pi }

is normal with unknown mean index

{\displaystyle \mu _{\pi }\,\!}

and variance

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The Internet Movie Database uses a formula for calculating and comparing the ratings of films by its users, including their Top Rated 250 Titles which is claimed to give “a true Bayesian estimate”.

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The degree of belief may be based on prior knowledge about the event, such as the results of previous experiments, or on personal beliefs about the event. Simplifying by collecting like terms, we get that the joint p. f. Bayesian inference uses Bayes’ theorem to update probabilities after more evidence is obtained or known.

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f. f. Except where otherwise noted, content on this site is licensed under a CC BY-NC 4.
Let θ be an unknown random variable, and suppose that

x

1

,

x

2

,

{\displaystyle x_{1},x_{2},\ldots }

are iid samples with density

f
(

x

i

|

)

{\displaystyle f(x_{i}|\theta )}

.

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.